mercoledì, dicembre 26, 2007

Fallibility: why conspiracy theorists are usually wrong

It's a crucial problem: conspiracy theorists believe that there is an agent with absolute information and unlimited powers. unfortunately, this has never been the case. But mistakes, false information and sheer ignorance are far more common than we think
clipped from claremont.org
what is missing from the national debate over the "worst" war in our history is any appreciation of past American military errors—political, strategic, technological, intelligence, tactical—that nearly cost us victory in far more important conflicts. Nor do we accept the savage irony of war that only through errors, tragic though they may be, do successful armies adjust in time to discover winning strategies, tactics, and generals.
Preoccupied with the daily news from Baghdad, we seem to think our generation is unique in experiencing the heartbreak of an error-plagued war. We forget that victory in every war goes to the side that commits fewer mistakes—and learns more from them in less time—not to the side that makes no mistakes.
Rather than sink into unending recrimination over Iraq, we should reflect about comparable blunders in America's past wars and how they were corrected. Without such historical knowledge we are condemned to remain shrill captives of the present.
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